Saturday, December 30, 2006
Friday, December 29, 2006
Thursday, December 28, 2006
Here is the map for early Monday morning. Hopefully, this is past the midnight hour with many people outside celebrating New Year's and seeing the ice sculptures on the Common. This year looks to be fairly good for the sculptures with decently cool highs in the upper 30's with lows on New Year's Eve expected to drop into the upper 20's in the city to mid 20's in the suburbs. This will set us up for the storm system moving into our area on Monday morning. Here is the map for early Monday morning and it is showing much of MA above the 0C line with frozen precipitation falling. This could be freezing rain or sleet, closest to the line with a mixture of freezing rain/sleet/snow possible north of the Pike. Newest information actually is showing the possibility of this storm system starting as a brief period of light to moderate snowfall before turning to more of a wintry mix. Nonetheless, all wintry precipitation will turn to rain by Monday around noon, except in the deepest valleys where the shallow cold air may keep temperatures around 31 or 32 with freezing rain. These situations are very tough to forecast and can be called low confidence forecasts.
Wednesday, December 27, 2006
Monday, December 25, 2006
Sunday, December 24, 2006
Best wishes too all and I hope everyone gets what they want and just have a great and healthy holiday.
Saturday, December 23, 2006
All the snow will be confined to Kentucky, West Virginia and Cleveland and Upstate New York. Foot plus of windwhipped heavy wet snow there.Sorry SNE guys. Better luck next storm and as Ray would say....NEXTT!!!!
Friday, December 22, 2006
"FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND THE POTENTIAL FOR A FORMIDABLE EAST COAST STORM STARTING LATE XMAS DAY INTO THE NIGHT OF THE 26TH. THE 00Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF ARE IN NEAR-PERFECT AGREEMENT TONIGHT AT H+120 AFTER VERY LARGE DIFFERENCES ON THEIR RUNS 24 HOURS AGO. BASICALLY...BOTH PUT A 985-ISH LOW JUST E OF BOSTON BY TUE EVENING. UNFORTUNATELY FOR SNOW LOVERS...THERE WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO BE A SCARCITY OF COLD AIR.IN ANY EVENT...FIRST THINGS FIRST. ANY PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH FIRST SYSTEM SHOULD BE QUICKLY MOVING OUT EARLY SAT EVENING...IF NOT GONE BY THEN. BLUSTERY NWLY FLOW UNDER CLEARING SKIES SAT NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW.SUN...XMAS EVE...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. PERHAPS A PERIOD OF BKN STRATO-CU OVER NORTHWESTERN ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND 850 TEMPS JUST ABOVE ZERO SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE TO AROUND 50 AT MOST LOCALES.HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN AT THE SFC SUN NIGHT WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. NEAR-SEASONABLE LOWS SHOULD BE EXPECTED.SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH STATES SUN NIGHT...AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC ON XMAS DAY. MODELS ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS IS THE WAVE THAT ALLOWS FOR GULF CYCLOGENESIS SUN...WHICH CONTINUES UP THE COAST SUN NIGHT AND MON. A SECOND SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE IS THEN PROGGED TO FOLLOW IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FIRST...WHICH IS THE STRONGEST OF THE TWO. THIS IS THE ONE THAT LOOKS TO REALLY SPIN UP THIS STORM AS THE WAVE PHASES WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM. IT'S STILL TOO EARLY TO PREDICT THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING...BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE A PRETTY FORMIDABLE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL BE MOVING UP THE COAST XMAS NIGHT...AND INTO NEW ENGLAND ON TUE...EXITING TO THE NORTHEAST TUE NIGHT.WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOOKS TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON XMAS DAY. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...AND AS EVERYONE KNOWS BY NOW...COLD AIR HAS BEEN HARD TO FIND SO FAR THIS DECEMBER AND IT LOOKS LIKE THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE. THUS...EXPECT LIGHT RAIN TO OVERSPREAD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM SOUTH TO NORTH XMAS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S. EXTREME NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA COULD SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE UP THE COAST MON NIGHT...THE WARM AIR SHOULD HOLD TOUGH...SO EXPECT RAIN ACRS MOST OF THE CWA...EXCEPT PERHAPS NORTHWESTERN MOST ZONES. LOWS SHOULD BE IN THE 30S FOR THE MOST PART...EXCEPT PERHAPS THE CAPE/ISLANDS/SOUTH COAST WHERE LOWS WILL LIKELY ONLY BE IN THE 40S...MAYBE EVEN 50.IT'S HARD TO SAY WHERE THE LOW WILL TRACK EXACTLY LATE MON NIGHT INTO TUE. 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN HAS THE LOW PASSING OVER THE SOUTH COAST WHILE THE 00Z OP GFS AND 00Z ECMWF HAVE IT PASSING INLAND...THEN EXITING THE COASTLINE BETWEEN BOSTON AND PORTLAND EARLY TUE EVENING. THIS IS ACTUALLY EXCELLENT MODEL AGREEMENT FOR A 5 DAY FORECAST. UNFORTUNATELY THIS IS LIKELY TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE...AND I WOULD EXPECT SOME MODEL FLIP-FLOPPING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.WILL FORECAST RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEST TO EAST DURING TUE AFTERNOON INLAND AND TUE EVENING TOWARD THE COAST. TOUGH TO SAY HOW MUCH SNOW WE'LL GET...BUT IF THE LOW TRACKS OVER THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...A GOOD PORTION OF THE CWA COULD GET SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE TUE AFTN AND TUE NIGHT AS IT RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES AND MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. LOTS OF TIME TO LOOK AT THIS. IN A NUTSHELL...MAINLY RAIN STARTING LATE XMAS DAY THROUGH A GOOD CHUNK OF TUE...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TUE AFTN/NIGHT. WINDY TOO. COULD GET VERY GUSTY AS THIS LOW DEPARTS.STILL LOTS OF POSSIBLE SCENARIOS WITH THIS LOW AND IT'S TRACK."
Thursday, December 21, 2006
Wednesday, December 20, 2006
Saturday, December 16, 2006
Monday night we will see a sprinkle or two and as the cold front moves through our area from the NW during the course of the night, those sprinkles may turn into a snowflake or two. Maybe enough moisture to squeeze out a snowshower in the hills of Worcester and Keene, NH. A dusting there maybe? Thats about it. I should at least mention that there is the smallest chance that with the NNW winds, we could see some OES on the outermost Cape during the evening hours of Tuesday with perhaps a coating of snow, but that is not what I am forecasting at the moment.
Wednesday will be mighty chilly around here with highs struggling to make it into the upper 20's in Worcester, to lower 30's around Boston, and mid-upper 30's on the South Coast and Cape. That will be all of the cold we will see as we will be pushing 40 on Thursday and then pushing 50-55 again on Friday with rain likely holding off now until Christmas "Eve" Eve. It looks like a storm will be heading well to our west, so we will be on the warm sector of the storm with showery rains and mild temperatures. Sorry, I wish I had better news. All you eastern weather forum guys will be going crazy with this forecast. I am too. I am too.
Thereafter, it may cool down slightly again after Christmas Day, but I see no reason why it would be anything more than a shortlived coolspell like what we will see on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week.
If you just moved to Boston and you think this is normal, I want to stick up for the Boston Winter and say this is definitely the exception. It is usually not like this. Hopefully, we will be able to show all you newcomers our true colors soon. Until then, enjoy our California treat.
Wednesday, December 13, 2006
Our Winter 2006 - 2007 snow drought is continuing this week. We are not even coming close to having any type of snow. "When it rains, it pours." Highs tomorrow will be pushing the upper 50's - around 60! This is after today's front pushes through with about a tenth to three-tenths of an inch of rain from the South Coast all the way to Caribou, ME. No snow with this one, even on the highest mountain tops. The "Pacific" mild trend will continue into this weekend, with a cooler Saturday with temperatures in the upper 40's to around 50. Sunday, ahead of a cold front, we will be in the grips of a strong SSW flow, bringing in all sorts of mild air. Accompanying this extremely mild air will be a few widely scattered showers, but Sunday will not be a washout by any means. In fact, it will be a good day to get outside and soak up all of this warm air, surely an early Christmas gift. Sunday's highs, easily 55+. We could see a few 60 degree readings.
After the front goes through Sunday, expect cooler weather for Monday with highs in the mid 40's. We step down a little more Tuesday with highs in the mid-upper 30's, but at this point, it looks to be mostly dry with no snow through day 6-7. However, we could be taking a turn back to colder and snowier? weather as the NAO may be trending more negative during Christmas week. Are our prayers for cold and snow about to be answered? That answer will be unveiled in the days to come.
Tuesday, December 12, 2006
Enjoy your week, will have limited posts as there is really ot much to talk about...except that there is only 11 days left of Christmas shopping. Enjoy the mild times.
Saturday, December 09, 2006
Thursday, December 07, 2006
Currently, western Massachusetts and southern Vermont is under a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the potential of 3-8" of snow as reported by the NWS early this morning. I don't totally agree with this forecast as I think that most areas will see 3" or less. I suppose the highest peaks and mountain resorts may see up to 5-6", but that would be pushing it, even with the expected 15:1 or 18:1 ratio forecasted. Around here, we may see squalls giving us a light accumulation of snow. These "windex" events are extremely hard to forecast as one town may get blasted with near whiteout conditions for 10-20 minutes, while just down the road they barely see a flake. However, I believe that many will see at least some snow accumulation tonight, or at least see some flakes.
Around here I am expecting possible accumulations to be like this...
Boston Metro (Boston, Inside Route 495): Coating - 2"
Cape Cod (Including the Islands): Coating - 1"+ (ocean effect Fri???)
Rhode Island (North): Trace - 1" (South): Trace
Worcester County (Fitchburg, Orange, Springfield) Coating - 2"
Conneticut (Eastern): Trace - Coating (Litchfield Co.): 1-3"
Western MA (Berkshires): 2-4"
Southern VT: 2-5"
Southern NH (Nashua, Manchester, Derry): 1-2"
It is hard to go town by town with this one as it will be very localized, but many areas have a shot at seeing snow. Not a big event by any means, so did not even bother to post a snowfall map. Sanders may have to be used tomorrow morning and people may need to remember to drive on this stuff as many will be caught off guard tomorrow morning when they get home from work with temperatures in the mid 50's. Good luck to the uninformed. It will be a shock. Tomorrow will be the coldest day since last winter with highs ranging from 25-30 in southern New England and ranging from 15-25 in northern New England. Don't worry, it will warm up again and by Sunday all will be forgotten and melted as highs will be back into the 50's yet again.
Wednesday, December 06, 2006
I said that I would post the details of the contest on this site so here they are:
Ok, so the 2006 Winter Forecast Contest is back. The directions are rather simple. You must predict the winter snowfall for the following cities (to the nearest whole number). Tie breaker will be the date of the last snowfall at Logan Airport, in Boston. So, here are the cities:
Please email Joel your predictions (email@example.com) or post them in the comments section.Contest closes on December 15, 2006. Joel will make a list of the contestants and their predictions after the contest closes.
Meanwhile, I hope to post soon, as there is some weather stuff to talk about, including some potential snow tomorrow night into Friday morning. Before you get too excited, let me tell you that its just a chance of snow showers and squalls with the passage of a front. Tomorrow will be milder with highs in the upper 40's to around 50. Friday after morning flurries may be hardpressed to get out of the 20's inland and above freezing in Boston and along the coast. Cold snap won't last long, moderating temperatures into the weekend. Highs back in the 50's by Sunday.
Make your predictions...
Tuesday, December 05, 2006
But, I will not be able to post for a while, a few days or so, so until then, I encourage you all to go to New England Weather (sneweather.blogspot.com) or Foot's Forecast (footsforecast.blogspot.com) to find the latest on the forecast and find good reads. Two best sites for the weather.
Until we meet again, see you later.
Sunday, December 03, 2006
Better luck next time and I will leave the next word for Ray on this storm. The only thing we can hope for now NW of Boston is to at least see some snow flakes. Adios.
Now for the snow. It has lost its punch from Friday afternoon. Thats where I got the forecast map from the last post. This thing, at that time, looked like a MONST-AH! Now, not so much. Looks like a little lamb. Snow will fall, mainly away from the coast, away from the Cape, and inside of Route 495. So if you meet these three requirements, expect 1-3" of snow. Not much, I know, but it will be the first time any of us have seen snow in our backyards since April 5th. Backside of snow will be around Springfield to Manchester, NH and into Maine. NAM, now is portraying the least amount of snow for areas NW of Boston...perhaps a coating to an inch on the grassy surfaces. GFS is better with perhaps a few inches all the way to Worcester. I took a road in the middle to give you this map. Cape, expect mostly rain and maybe a quick changeover to at least see your first flakes of the season. Sorry that 4-8" forecast didn't verify. Or maybe you are cheering it didn't.
Time table for this is light rain/mix NW moving in tonight. Then changes to a quick bout of snow for many other than the Cape with the main accumulation. Will likely end around 10AM to NOON...from NW to SE
Will post again if anything changes and won't wait two days to do so. There is a chance areas just WSW and WNW of Boston may have a SNOW ADVISORY posted this afternoon. I will keep you posted. I have a family party from around noon to 3PM, so hopefully nothing happens then and I'm so mad I'm missing the Pats game, but thats a different story.
Friday, December 01, 2006
Here is the five day. As you can see, after temperatures in the upper 60's to around 70 the past few days, it will be a shock. There is the Monday snow threat, and then we are back to windy and cold Tuesday with perhaps a period of light snow or flurries Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Nothing major. Seasonable December cold continues to round out the first full week of December.
Check in tomorrow to see the latest update on the snowfall accumulation.
Thursday, November 30, 2006
Wednesday, November 29, 2006
First, tomorrow is going to be in the upper 60's to around 70 in Atlan...no, no, I mean Boston tomorrow. It will be a very balmy springlike feeling day. Morning lows will start around 60. A good jumping pad. Friday is when the rain will move in with up to one or two inches of soaking rain. It will still be mild with highs early around 60. It will turn much colder Friday night with any rain changing to snow across the northern New England mountains where a few inches of snow may accumulate on the highest peaks. That will clear and then lead us into a chilly Sunday with highs in the middle 30's.
Then comes the big story for Monday. It is up in the air. There is a 50/50 chance of seeing a SNE special for Monday. Right now, I am going with the pessamistic viewpoint with it coming close enough to us for a little light rain and light snow. However, with this fast, west to east flow, I do not see the storm really "bombing" out until it is way past SNE. I do NOT think that we will see much if any snow out of this one in the Boston metro area. The pattern we are in is very progressive with fast moving storms. I do not see this storm moving slow enough to gain enough strength for a major snow or rain Monday. With this progressive fast moving pace of storms, I think it will jug along in the jet and spread a shield of organized spotty precipitation. Southeastern MA and the Cape will probably see steady light rain or drizzle. The cold will be ousted by the warm marine water off the Atlantic. Keep in mind that the temperature of the water in Boston Harbor today was 50 degrees. North and west of Boston, I think that there will be wet snow and flurries with perhaps a skim coating. If the storm were to strengthen into a monster and hit us, warm air from the ocean would likely keep it all rain south and east of Boston. It would turn any snow to rain quickly from Boston northwest to Route 495 and Worcester. Jen, you would probably see accumulating snow. Ray and myself around Woburn/Wilmington would probably see a quick bout of snow changing to rain then maybe a quick shot of snow at the tail end?
So, for now keeping the chances of this storm very minimal, only posted a 40 percent chance in the FIVE DAY. Keep tuned though as you know that these storm's have a mind of their own. We are still FIVE days out. Thats all for now, so enjoy the tropical like warmth tomorrow and get out there and play catch or go for that jog around the pond.
Tuesday, November 28, 2006
Sunday, November 26, 2006
Okay, I know you did not come to this site to find out the weather for Seattle, so I will get back to Boston. I just thought it was odd that Charleston, SC and Orlando, FL and Seattle have seen their first snows before Boston or Portland, ME. Whacky.
Friday, November 24, 2006
Have a nice weekend. Post soon.
Thursday, November 23, 2006
It now looks like SNE is on the verge of another amazing warmup. Tomorrow with the storm departing, temperatures should respond nicely to between 55-60 degrees in much of SNE, exception will be Worcester, maybe only 50. If thats not a nice enough treat, wait until Saturday. There will be 100% sunshine and temperatures will be within a degree or two of 60.
Still not good enough? Well, then you will love Sunday. It should be mostly sunny again and highs should respond nicely up into the lower to middle 60's with dry conditions. No threat of rain. It will continue into Monday with highs in around 60. A frontal boundry will go throught the area Monday night-Tuesday and temperatures will "fall" to around or slightly above normal conditions. Mainly around 50. Wednesday southerly breezes will be back and highs should have no problem rebounding back well into the 50's. Right now it looks like Thursday of next week could be the warmest of the next bunch. Highs may be approaching mid-upper 60's. Its a long way out, so stay tuned.
FWI, parts of the DEEP SOUTH have already seen their first snow. Thundersnow was reported in Charleston, SC this past week. Snow accumulated up to 2" in Augusta, GA and snow was reportedly mixing in with light rain all the way down to the suburbs of ORLANDO, FL.
NOW TALK ABOUT WACKY WEATHER! A storm that brought SNOW to Orlando, FL is bringing ALL RAIN to New England.
Saturday, November 18, 2006
Friday, November 17, 2006
Thursday, November 16, 2006
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Okay. It is now the halfway point in November, Boston's gloomiest month. Well, Boston has lived up to that reputation the past few days with nonstop showery rains, fog, clouds, and drizzle. However, it has been unseasonably warm the past several days as well. Highs have been ranging from the upper 50's to mid and upper 60's. Averages for this time of the year should be around 52 degrees.
Guess what? Much of the same is forecasted for Wednesday and Thursday. Tomorrow there will be limited or no rain. We actually may see some sunshine and if we do, you guessed it, highs back in the mid 60's. If not, upper 50's to around 60 is all right too. Highs around 60 again on Thursday with another rainstorm moving in for the night. Looks like this will be an all night rainstorm with about another 1-2" throughout much of SNE. That will move out Friday morning and highs will be "cooler" still above average, in the upper 50's to around 60.
Even colder air will move in this weekend and early next week with highs in the mid 40's. Lows will get back down below freezing again. Upper 20's are likely again by Monday morning. Travel Day Tuesday, the 22nd, looks to be nice across much of the eastern U.S. A storm will be out to sea, which the track has been fluctuating, but current indications are that it will stay well out to sea.
Thanksgiving looks to be nearing the end of our mini "Cool Spell." Highs on Thanksgiving should range from the upper 40's NW to lower 50's down on the Cape. Gametime temperatures should generally be in the lower to mid 40's. Thereafter, it looks like the rollercoaster ride will continue as temperatures will be back on the upswing. Highs back into the positive range with highs back well into the 50's.
The next significant cooldown does not look probable until early December after the Thanksgiving mini cooldown. As you know, these weather patterns are very finicky, so please check back with Southern New England Weather for updates.
See you soon.
Monday, November 13, 2006
Wednesday, November 08, 2006
First, after today's wicked rains, 2"+, tomorrow through Saturday will be absolutely perfect November weather. Highs tomorrow will range from the upper 60's to lower 70's. It will be a tad cooler Friday, but highs still should get into the 60's and we are back near or over 70 for Saturday, each day with sunny skies.
Then comes the fun....
A storm system will be coming at us from the west, northwest. It will have ample moisture, approaching one inch of liquid. There is no doubt that the first half of the storm will be ALL RAIN for all of New England, but then during the day on Sunday, cold air will be trapped into the storm and whatever leftover moisture is here on Sunday morning it will likely be snow, not rain. Obviously the higher in elevation you are, the better chance you will see the snow.
So, right now I would say that the chance of seeing snow here Sunday ranges from 20% in Boston, S&E, to 30% in Boston's NW suburbs, to 50% in the Worcester Hills, to 60% in southern New Hampshire.
Monday, November 06, 2006
Little did we know entering this month on such a cold note that we would be talking about warm air so soon. After seeing the past several days with highs struggling to get out of the mid 40's with lows at night in the low 20's, the warm air is on its way back to New England.
It will come with a payoff though. Rain is in the forecast for Wednesday, basically calling for on and off rain all day Wednesday, mainly a showery rain, with highs approaching 60. Then comes the "tricky" part, the forecast for Thursday.
The key to hitting 70 is clearing out the rain in the early morning hours and having sunshine break out by late morning, warming us all the way until 4 o'clock. If this happens, it will feel downright SPRINGLIKE! Highs will easily push 70, and places like metrowest, Boston's immediate suburbs, could top out in the LOWER 70's. Yes the lower 70's. This amazing warmth will not last long as a cool front will move in through the area Thursday night bringing us back into a somewhat sense of reality. Highs on Friday will stay in the lower to mid 50's with partly cloudy skies. One thing that is unique with this cool front is that behind it, there is no bitter arctic air from Alaska or Alberta.
Nope that is not where this air is coming from. This air will be coming in from good old rainy Seattle, WA. We will be entrenched in a west to east Pacific flow of air. This means that the country will generally have fast paced storm systems hitting once to twice a week with mostly rain, even to the far north. The exception in our area may be the highest peaks of VT, NH, and ME. Other than that, it looks like the next 10-14 days look to be on the mild side for much of the region.
This upcoming weekend looks to be fairly nice with a mainly sunny sky Saturday with a slight chance of a passing shower or two Saturday night before more sunshine and seasonal temperatures for Sunday. Saturday and Sunday should both be in the 50-55 degree range. Beyond the upcoming weekend, looking beyond the 7 day forecast, it looks like the Pacific air and pattern will dominate much of the lower 48 states, with no intrusions of frigid arctic air coming down.
Beyond November 20th, the week of Thanksgiving, we may be singing a different tune, just a heads up, but until then enjoy this treat we are getting before our New England winter really settles in.
SIDENOTE: The seven day forecast graphic will be available again sometime this week again...
Thursday, November 02, 2006
Thereafter, I believe we will be seeing crazy high temperatures and no snowstorms at all in the lower 48. More on this developing story later.
Monday, October 30, 2006
Amazing. I cannot believe it is already that time of the year again. Happy Halloween. I hope everyone has a safe and happy Halloween. Tomorrow will be a great night for trick-or-treating. After having highs around 70 degrees around 2-3PM, temperatures will slowly drop through the night. Here is a time by time breakdown for all you trick-or-treaters and parents.
4:00 PM....Mostly Sunny Mid 60's (Sun setting at 4:38 PM)
5:00 PM...Dry Around 60
7:00 PM....Dry Mid 50's
9:00 PM...Dry Lower to Mid 50's
12:00 MIDNIGHT....Dry Upper 40's
After that, you are on your own.
The warmth will continue into Wednesday the first of November, but then a surge of new cold air will move into the area later this week, especially Friday with highs in the lower to mid 40's throughout the weekend. There is even an outside shot of some SNOW FLURRIES in the air Friday night in the Boston metro area. Right now, I would say the chance of snow Friday night is at best 15-20% right now.
Temperatures will slowly moderate ending off the weekend and heading into early next week. Talk to ya'll later.
Friday, October 27, 2006
Halloween will be great with highs in the middle 60's. Don't get used to it though, by the end of the week, we will be back into the grips of autumn with highs struggling to get out of the 40's.
Monday, October 23, 2006
As this is going on, a storm system will be moving in on us from the southwest. It should cut to around Pittsburgh, PA, bringing in a shield of rain with snow mixed in on the northernmost edge into the mountains of northern New England. A secondary low will form off of Cape Cod, bringing in cold air into the storm even more and this could yield to accumulating snows for much of northern New England. Still to early to speculate, but some areas, especially elevations higher than 1600' could see in excess of six inches of snowfall.
Southern New Hampshire and Vermont could even see some snow mixed in with the rain Friday night. The Worcester Hills could see a few flakes as well. It all depends on how hard the precipitation falls. If it falls heavily enough, it could bring cold air down from the storm, turning the rain over to snow. Needless to say, it could get interesting around here on Friday. Thereafter, expect chilly conditions and on Sunday, we could see a few passing flurries, even down to the coastal plain with highs in the mid 40's.
More on the forecast later...and on a side note...the tropics are gurgling in the Pacific. Hurricane Paul now has winds of 90 mph and Baja California is currently under a Hurricane Watch and will likely bear the brunt of Hurricane Paul. Tropics in the Atlantic continue to be absolutely quiet.
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
Tuesday, October 10, 2006
Here comes the snow. A nice three day snowstorm for many up there in the northern Plains and Great Lakes. It will start with some system snow, the initial burst of about 3-6", perhaps 7" of wet snow in the white shaded area and then there will be some lake effect snow showers in the UP of Michigan. In the blue shaded area above, 6-12" of snow is likely, but new information suggests that this area, especially higher elevations may see up to TWO FEET of the white stuff.
Notice the wide area of 6"+ in Canada. That is very important and will act as a refridgerator and make these cool shots even colder and keep them cold. A cold surge will move into the area later this week as it shows in the 5 day forecast below.
Monday, October 09, 2006
In the gray shaded area, expect to see some snow in the air, but it will likely not stick. Just a sign of things to come. There could be a few snowflakes flying all the way down in Chicago later this week, Wednesday. That storm will funnel in our cold air for late week. There may actually be some snow in the Berkshires and Green Mountains on Friday morning. We are not talking about a snowstorm, but there could be some Snow Showers out there with a possible coating of snow in the high elevations and mountains.
The 80 of today is long gone. Highs will stay in the 60's through Thursday and Friday morning and then with the passage of the cold front associated with the massive midwest snowstorm, temperatures will nosedive Friday afternoon through the 50's and probably hover in the upper 40's all afternoon. Highs in the lower 50's are likely Saturday and Sunday with a HARD KILLING FREEZE likely both nights. No escaping it this time, except if you live in the city of Boston.
Lows Sunday morning will likely be in the 20's throughout much of the suburbs, and up in the cold spot of New England, Berlin, NH, lows could bottom out in the mid teens with great radiational cooling. I'll be in New York this weekend...so I'll be posting for the rest of the week and then probably take the weekend off.
Sunday, October 08, 2006
your attention. Its true. A major winter storm will be taking shape across the nation's mid section later on this week. It will be developing in the "Four Corners" region of the southwest and head up into Colorado all the while tapping into some really cold arctic air from Canada. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday from Denver to Goodland, KS to Nebraska, the Dakotas, Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, and the UP of Michigan could be staying in the 30's to around 40. Some spots may actually stay in the upper 20's with heavy snow, International Falls.
Blizzard conditions? Yup, they are possible, especially in NE Minnesota, Duluth, International Falls...winds could gust over 50 mph with rain changing over to snow and heavy at that. Snow accumulations will not be as much as they could be in January because the ground temperatures are still in the 40's and 50's. However, any given spot could be seeing a healthy 3-6" of windswept snow from this system in the Northern Plains. Some of the mountains of Wyoming are already under WINTER STORM WATCHES for snowfall in excess of 8". Some spots could see up to a FOOT! Denver and Goodland, KS will likely see their first snows too...maybe a coating to an inch, maybe even a little bit more. Not bad for early-mid October.
Now the forecast for here. There it is...nothing more to say really. Just really really warm tomorrow, Columbus Day with highs approaching 80!!! Tuesday will cool off and then by Thursday we are back into the 70's with rain from the Blizzard moving in which will be with us on Friday. Right now it looks like Friday will be COLD with rain, but if we get on the southern side of the warm front, we could see more of a showery rain with temperatures around 70. It will be something to watch. Saturday will be cold with highs around 50.
More on the forecast later.