Thursday, November 16, 2006

Windswept Rain Tonight

Its past the halfway point of November and we are still seeing temperatures near 70 in Taunton, MA. Here NW of Boston, it is currently in the mid 60's with Boston checking in at 68 degrees. Will this last? Well, for the next 24-30 hours, it will last. Tomorrow looks to be like another mild day with highs in the mid 60's after morning rain. Tonight we are under a FLOOD WATCH, everywhere except SE MA. Expect rainfall to be on the order of 1-3", possibly 4"+ tonight.
There could be localized flooding during this timeframe as most of the rain will likely fall in a 4-7 hour time frame.
The link to the side is from WHDH BOSTON and shows just where the FLOOD WATCH affects. As you can see southeastern MA and southern CT is not under this FLOOD WATCH, but that does not mean that you will escape the rain. It just means that the heaviest, flooding rains, will probably not occur over you. Still, expect 1-2" of heavy rain tonight.
Looking down the line towards this weekend, Saturday, although cooler, still looks to be a tad above normal on the high temperature department. Highs should be in the mid 50's. Middle 40's are likely here Sunday and Monday. Then Monday night, there could be a coastal storm quite close to us at this time. It will be quite cold at this time with temperatures likely in the 30's. Computer models are showing that this storm system could throw some precipitation into eastern and southeastern New England at this time, possibly as a rain/snow mix. This is so far out, 4-5 days, and the track will likely change with each new run of the computer models which come out every 6 hours, that it is too early to forecast anything or side any which way. It would not be professional. But since this is not a professional site, I can tell you what exactly I am thinking.
I believe that the models will bring this closer and closer to the west, but then keep it far enough out to sea that it does not really have any effect on us here in Boston. Also temperature composites will likely come up from the borderline rain/snow line, safely above the critical 0 degrees C at 540 mb. So, expect a few sprinkles or a shower down on the Cape, perhaps just on the Islands.
Thats all for today...PEACE.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

ERIC- Nice site. You have been posting for a long time and I had no clue. You go all the way back to last winter.

Whats up with this storm thing for early next week?

Any snow?

E.H. Boston said...
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Anonymous said...

RAY-Thanx Eric, it is a cool site. Yeah Andrew, this is not even an event worth talking about IMHO.

E.H. Boston said...
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E.H. Boston said...

Well, your guess is as good as mine, because with the newest run of the GFS, there is no more storm...

Well, there is but it keeps it down south off the FL/GA coast and sits it down there for a while before sending it up the coast after several days, letting us warm up again and having a mild late week rainstorm, probably after Thanksgiving and the football games.

It does look to get stormy around these parts later down the stretch with better chances for snow, but that is more like 10-14 days out at this point, so can't be too sure of that panning out.

Check back this weekend and we'll probably have this storm/no storm thing all ironed out.

Anonymous said...

RAY- e.h., that discussion is from earlier today, but even then I could have told ya that there will be no storm, the 0z as Andrew points out cements this notion. I would be VERY weary of putting much stock into any ideas of extended cold until well into Dec.