Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Of note, the GFS has backed off on the cold today progressively through the model suites, from 00z this morning to 18z this evening. Each has backed off the cold shot coming to the eastern and northern United States dramatically. However, the Euro is still going full force with this cold shot, of wintertime cold, so we will see if the GFS is just in a blip and had a bad day or if the Euro will start to turn more towards a GFS solution, warmer. We'll see. Thats all for now. A generally dry forecast and turning colder.
Tomorrow is November 1st. What will this month bring? Our first snow?
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Thereafter, it looks like we could be on the verge of a very cold, Arctic air invasion, sometime later next week with a major November Arctic front pressing through the lower 48, dropping temperatures all the way to the Gulf Coast near the freezing mark for morning lows and places like Minneapolis and Chicago will likely see highs in the 20's and 30's with the threat for them seeing their first snows as well. We will see how this pans out as the GFS has been hinting at this for days now and the other models are starting to pick up on it as well. In about a week, we could be talking some snow around these parts as well, but that is a long way out and I won't get into detail about that. More tomorrow.
First Trick-or-Treaters (5PM)...............Sunny 59
The Regulars (7PM).................Clear 55
Late Night Trick-or-Treaters (9PM)...............Clear 49
I will have more on the trick-or-treat forecast today and just wanted to say how cool the Rolling Rally was today. The Boston Red Sox and our fans are truly classy people who know how to have a good time. I'm sure all classes were half filled in high schools and colleges around Boston today.
Also, I will have more on the developing situation with Tropical Storm Noel, as I have not really mentioned him, but it looks like he could graze southern Florida as a decent (60+mph) storm and then rocket into the Canadian Maritimes and have an effect on how much cold air we will see come out of Canada later next week. Everything is intertwined. The tropics and arctic cold. Only in November. More tomorrow. Goodnight and Happy Halloween for tomorrow.
Monday, October 29, 2007
RED SOX RALLY FORECAST
Boston, MA (12-2PM)
8AM................Mostly Clear 44
10AM.............Mostly Sunny 52
12PM Rally Time!..............Mostly Sunny 56
2PM End............................Mostly Sunny 58
6PM.................Mostly Clear 50
______________________________________________________________Enjoy the day in Boston tomorrow. Its going to be another special day. I will have the hour-by hour forecast for the warm Halloween tomorrow. Its going to be perfect for the trick-or-treaters. I'm sure there will be lots of work done in Boston tomorrow.
Sunday, October 28, 2007
World Series Game 3 Forecast
Boston @ Colorado (BOS leads 3-0)
First Pitch...............Mostly Clear, Winds SW-5 to 10mph; 48
Last Pitch.................Mostly Clear, Winds SW-Calm to 5mph; 41
BOSTON CELEBRATION (1AM)..........Mostly Clear; 38CONTINUED (3AM).................................Mostly Clear; 32
So there you go. If you go out celebrating, just know that it is going to be a cold one. I don't too many will notice the cold out in Boston...the mass of bodies will make it feel much warmer, right? Or the booze.
WEEK 8 FORECAST
Patriots v. Redskins
4:05PM Gillete Stadium
Kickoff...........................Mostly Sunny; Winds W-15 to 20mph, gusting to 35mph; 56
Halftime........................Mostly Sunny; Winds W-10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35mph; 53
End.................................Mostly Clear; Winds W- 10 to 15 mph; 48
Next forecast tomorrow. Go Sox and Pats!
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Boston and its Nearby Suburbs November Averages_______________________
Boston.......November 1st 57/42
Boston.......November 30th 47/33
Boston's lowest temperature for the period is -2 degrees, set all the way back in 1875 on the 30th. The highest temperature was 83 degrees set on the 2nd. Boston will usually see its first snowfall this month with an average of 1.3" of snow for the month of November.
Bedford......November 1st 56/35
Bedford......November 30th 45/27
Bedford's lowest temperature for the month of November is -2 degrees as well set in 1989. It can still get warm with the highest temperature reaching all the way to 80 degrees set in 1994. I do not have Bedford's average snowfall, but Worcester, MA averages about 3.6" and Blue Hill, MA picks up about 2.7, so Boston's nearby suburbs generally see between 2-3" of snow for the month of November. Back in November 2004, many of Boston's suburbs picked up between 4-7" of snowfall in a clipper type snowstorm that would prove to be the beginning of a very snowy winter with much of SNE experiencing much above normal snowfall. Boston came in just shy of 90", while parts of Cape Cod, of all places saw over 110" of snow. That was a special winter.
That is it for now, many forecasters are calling for a warm winter here in SNE, so we will see what kind of pattern we get ourselves into by Thanksgiving. Hopefully they are wrong.
Go Sox tonight, its going to be cold in Denver for game three of the World Series, mainly in the middle 40's dropping into the upper 30's by game's end.
Thursday, October 25, 2007
More on the forecast later and good luck to the Sox tonight.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
WORLD SERIES GAME 1 FORECAST
Boston v. Colorado
First Inning....................................Few Light Rain Showers; Winds N-5 to 10 mph, 51
Midpoint.........................................Few Light Rain Showers; Winds N-8 to 15 mph, 49
End..................................................Mostly Cloudy, Brisk; Winds N-10 to 18 mph, 47
There it is. If you are lucky enough to be going to the game, dress appropriately. It is going to be a chilly night, but hopefully the Red Sox win will warm you up a little bit. Windchills by the end of the game will likely be in the low 40's, with that raw moist feeling, making it feel extra cold. Just dress warm and enjoy the game.More on the chilly forecast later.
Monday, October 22, 2007
All the while southern California is on fire and over a quarter of a million people have been evacuated from their homes in recent days. This has been a growing inevitable problem because southern California basically saw no rain last winter, meaning they have not seen appreciable rains in nearly two years which has caused the vegitation to dry and become fuel for these raging infernos, threatening homes and people's livelihoods.
I will have more on the California wildfires, the World Series forecast, and our own extended forecast which proves to get much colder than we are used to in the next couple of weeks, all tomorrow. Until then bask in the glory of the Sox winning the ALCS.
Sunday, October 21, 2007
ALCS GAME 7
Boston v. Cleveland (Series tied 3-3)
First Pitch..................................Mostly Clear, Winds W-6 to 12 mph, 66
Last Pitch...................................Clear, Winds W-5 to 10 mph, 63
Celebration.................................Clear, Light Winds, 1-2AM, 59
If you are going to stay out late tonight in the city, expect temperatures to cool into the mid-upper 50's in the city by about sunrise, for you late party-ers. Lows in the suburbs will drop into the upper 40's, so just keep that in mind once you start home after a nice victory celebration all night. Tomorrow will be very nice, near 80, so if you are a little hung over from the "celebrating" call in sick and head to the beach. Why not? Baseball in October and the beach. What could be better? We cool down late week, but it could be worse, Denver got their first snowfall today, an inch in the city. Haha. Big night tonight and oh yeah, the Pats are INSANE.
Keep the Faith!!!!!
Saturday, October 20, 2007
The game for the Sox looks great tonight with temperatures in around 70 for gametime and falling through the 60's during the course of the game. I will have the Game 7 forecast tomorrow morning, but here is the forecast for our 6-0 Pats in Miami, playing the 0-6 Dolphins.
WEEK 7 PATS FORECAST
New England @ Miami (1:00PM)
Kickoff.............................Chance Thunderstorms, (30 percent); Winds E-9 to 13 mph, 85
Halftime..........................Chance Thunderstorms, (40 percent); Winds E-11 to 18 mph, 88
End..................................Chance Thunderstorms, (30 percent); Winds E-6 to 12 mph, 86
*There is a slight chance of a cooling thunderstorm the entire game, so temperatures will drop into the 70's at any point if there is a thunderstorm with heavy rain and lightning and thunder. Other than that, the sun will be strong and it will be hot and humid with dewpoints running in the low to mid 70's. It will feel disgusting. A hard day to be running the ball a lot.Red Sox forecast tomorrow.
Keep the Faith!!!!!
Friday, October 19, 2007
ALCS GAME 6
Boston v. Cleveland (8:17PM)
Schilling's first pitch..........Clouds breaking, Winds W-5 to 10mph, 62
Last Pitch............................Partly Cloudy to Clear, Winds W-4 to 8 mph, 57
After the win Saturday night, we will have perfect weather for Game 7 of the ALCS when "the man" Beckett will take the mound on short rest and send the Sox back to the World Series. Afternoon highs will be in the mid and upper 70's, but by gametime, 8:00PM, temperatures will be falling through the 60's. Monday will be more reminiscent of a mid summer's day with highs near 80 to perhaps 85 degrees! Anyway....
Keep the Faith!!!!!
Thursday, October 18, 2007
The main pattern the next 1-2 weeks will be for a Ridge-East, Trough-West. Thats it; there will be minor swings from time to time where the East cools for a couple days and the West warms up for a couple of days, but the majority of the time will be the West being very cool and stormy with heavy mountain snows, and the East will have periods of frontal rains with heavy showers and thunder with temperatures above to much above normal. This pattern looks to last until at least Halloween. We will see, eventually, what November will bring in terms of patterns that set up. Winter forecasts look bad for snowlovers, at this point, but hopefully we can amend some of this as we get closer to November and winter forecasts come into better agreement. Forecasts made now are still too permature and preliminary to be seriously considered. But all the signs are there for an above normal temperature Winter and below normal snowfall winter season for 2007-8. We will see. This current pattern does not bode well for the future. Could it be foreshadowing the general pattern for our winter, which if it does, will be every bit as frustrating as the winters of 2001-2002 and 2006-2007.
I hope not. Until then, I'm going to KEEP THE FAITH and watch the Sox come back down 3-1 to advance to the World Series!
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
It should come to a gradual end, by about 9AM on Saturday with highs still warm on Saturday; mainly in the low 70's. We will be warm again on Sunday with the real warmth coming in on Monday when some spots will be challenging record highs. The record high for Boston is 83 degrees on Monday and I think that Boston will make it into the lower to perhaps middle 80's which will be absolutely amazing for the 22nd of October! The warmth should ease after Tuesday, back to the 50's and 60's by late week, next week. Hopefully a permanent return to fall and no more summer, at least the 80's.
ALCS GAME 5 FORECAST
Boston @ Cleveland (CLE leads series 3-1)
First Inning.........Chance Showers (50 percent), Winds S- 10 to 20mph....66
Last Pitch............Showers Likely (60 percent), Winds S- 10 to 20mph....65
*There is a chance of a rain delay at any point in the game. At the start of the game, showers should be ending before round two of the showers moves in during the late night hours, bringing a rainy Friday morning in Cleveland. There is a small chance of thunderstorms as well. This storm system will arrive in Boston on Friday night, with a chance of thunderstorms too.
Keep the Faith!!!!!
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
There will be a few more showers on Friday with a balmy breeze, boosting temperatures into the 70's. SW winds will bring in some rain on Saturday, heavy at times, for a period on Saturday late morning and early afternoon with perhaps 1-2" possible, cooler temperatures with highs around 70. We "cool" into the mid and upper 60's on Sunday before we really "bake" on Monday with highs getting back into the mid and upper 70's with a strong SW wind. At this time, Pittsburgh though Cleveland and West Virginia, temperatures will be approaching 80 degrees. I do not think we will hit 80, but a few spots will likely come close either Monday or Tuesday of next week. A cooldown later next week, we'll see.
Red Sox @ Indians 8:30PM (CLEVELAND LEADS 2-1)
First Pitch..........Mostly Cloudy, Light Winds (S-10) 66
Last Pitch...........Mostly Cloudy, Light Winds (S-10) 64
Hopefully Wakefield can save us tonight!
Sunday, October 14, 2007
Interesting to note, Boston's low temperatures by the end of this week will come up to around 60-65 degrees, which is more in line with our average high temperature this time of year. I want to say that we will cool down to more seasonable levels by the end of next weekend, after experiencing highs in the 70's on Saturday again and cooler Sunday. But this year it seems like the warm spells last a lot longer than the computer models initially forecast several days out. We will see. I have yet to hit the freezing mark yet this season. All the plants are still very much alive in my backyard, now the fall foliage is starting to make it look more like fall, but that is mainly do to the declining sunlight during the days.
Good luck to the Pats this afternoon for their deul in Dallas. Red Sox, well, we'll do better tomorrow, just don't let Eric Gagne pitch anymore. All right, Tito?
Saturday, October 13, 2007
The Sox looked great yesterday with their 10-3 win and look to make it a 2-0 lead tonight in the ALCS. BC, ranked number 4 in the country is taking on the fighting Irish this afternoon, looking to extend their great season to a record of 7-0. The weather looks fine in both places. It may be a little cool at Fenway with temperatures around first pitch (8:30PM) around 52 degrees, falling to around 47 degrees by midnight with the suburbs likely teetering around 40 degrees. Since the Pats are in a Dome Sunday, the weather will be 72 degrees and perfect.
GO SOX, PATS, & EAGLES!
Thursday, October 11, 2007
Monday, October 08, 2007
However, taken for what the 18z GFS is going for, we we see rain overspread all of New England during the day Saturday. It would quickly become heavy for all of New England with the low pressure system taking shape near Nantucket, deepening quickly. Then it would slowly move into the Gulf of Maine and this is when the GFS changes the rain to a period of heavy snow in the northern White Mountains and much of Maine. It looks like there is a timeframe of about 3-6 hours of seeing snowfall with temperatures very crucial, lower 30's. Even if surface temperatures were just below freezing, the snow would have a tough time sticking to the ground, plus we were seeing temperatures near 90 degrees even up there the past several days. It would all come to an end sometime Sunday, leaving all of us mighty cold.
We will need to keep an eye on this as it is the GFS. It will be mighty interesting to see what the NAM model is depicting tomorrow night at this time! SNOW is back in the forecast.
Sunday, October 07, 2007
All the while, an area of low pressure will be developing off the coast of Virginia and northern North Carolina. This will become a bonified Nor'easter during the day on Friday and move its way up the coast to deliver some heavy rain and northeast gales starting Friday night and ending sometime on Saturday. The precipitation may even end as a little mixed rain and snow in the highest elevations in New Hampshire and Maine on Saturday night and Sunday morning. After the storm slowly drifts into the Canadian Maritimes, cold air will funnel down into the Northeast for the end of next weekend, delivering our some of our first frosts and freezes here in SNE. I can't see highs getting out of the low 50's next Sunday, and that will be with mostly sunny skies, with the wind gusting out of the NW. It will finally feel like fall this week. No more summer, for a while.
Saturday, October 06, 2007
Until then, go Pats and go Sox!
Friday, October 05, 2007
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Then we will have to deal with a pesky backdoor coldfront with the timing of it very unknown that the present time. I could be off with it by a day, leaving Sunday mostly sunny with highs in the 80's, instead, I am going to meet the forecast half way and go for a high in the 70's with increasing cloudiness with a developing NE wind off the chilly water, only in the upper 50's now. Monday will be an exceptionally cool day with a raw wind off the cold water, keeping temperatures in check, mainly in the mid 50's for highs. Thereafter, it looks like we should stay seasonable, no more 80's, at least from what I can see after this approaching bout of summer weather. Enjoy it, it could be out last.
Monday, October 01, 2007
I almost forgot, the Boston College Eagles are ranked #7 in the BCS polls this week! They are finally getting some recognition. Go Eagles, Pats, and Sox.