Thursday, December 28, 2006

NEW YEAR'S DAY MESS?

After yesterday's snow flurries/showers/squalls, today have turned out to be a rather chilly day with highs in the lower 40's, which is still about five degrees above average. Normally, Boston should be around 38 degrees this time of year. We may actually get there tomorrow afternoon with a projected high of 38 degrees for Boston. We stay there again on Saturday with the possibility of a few snow flurries or snow showers widely scattered about the area. It looks like the best chances of seeing any snow Saturday will be north of the Mass Pike and especially in Central and Northern New England. A few favored ski resorts may actually get an inch to a couple quick inches of snow on the day Saturday. Wouldn't that be a nice surprise for the ski operators. There is a few snow showers up that way today in central-northern New Hampshire and SW Maine. A dusting to an inch or two cannot be ruled out with highs in the lower 30's at the bases of the mountains to mid - upper 20's at the summits.

Sunday now looks like it will be a mostly dry day with increasing high cloudiness ahead of the next storm system, slated to arrive sometime in the predawn hours of New Year's Day, Monday.

Here is the map for early Monday morning. Hopefully, this is past the midnight hour with many people outside celebrating New Year's and seeing the ice sculptures on the Common. This year looks to be fairly good for the sculptures with decently cool highs in the upper 30's with lows on New Year's Eve expected to drop into the upper 20's in the city to mid 20's in the suburbs. This will set us up for the storm system moving into our area on Monday morning. Here is the map for early Monday morning and it is showing much of MA above the 0C line with frozen precipitation falling. This could be freezing rain or sleet, closest to the line with a mixture of freezing rain/sleet/snow possible north of the Pike. Newest information actually is showing the possibility of this storm system starting as a brief period of light to moderate snowfall before turning to more of a wintry mix. Nonetheless, all wintry precipitation will turn to rain by Monday around noon, except in the deepest valleys where the shallow cold air may keep temperatures around 31 or 32 with freezing rain. These situations are very tough to forecast and can be called low confidence forecasts.


No comments: