Friday, December 01, 2006

HOLD ON NOW...WHAT ABOUT MONDAY!?

Okay, okay, okay, I have heard and read all of your messages now. I know you guys think I am crazy not immediately changing the forecast with the change in the track. The NAM came out today and it was pretty much going GANG-BUSTERS with lots of New England snow. However, with each run of the computer models, the outer Cape and the Islands may see some mixing in with rain, limiting snowfall accumualtions. Earlier today, it looked like someone from southern CT to Hyannis would have been able to see up to a foot of snow. NAM has started to back down from this hypothesis, with perhaps up to 4-8" of snow. I must say that this may be a little too high with the current information. Something to watch. Further N&W, towards Boston and its northwestern suburbs, it will likely be an all snow event with about 2-4" of snow. There will be a tight and sharp cutoff so areas west of Worcester and Lemonster will likely see just a few flurries. This is going on the latest runoff of the NAM model. We are still 60-70 hours away from this event. Things will likely change. This is what I am going for, for now.


Here is the five day. As you can see, after temperatures in the upper 60's to around 70 the past few days, it will be a shock. There is the Monday snow threat, and then we are back to windy and cold Tuesday with perhaps a period of light snow or flurries Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Nothing major. Seasonable December cold continues to round out the first full week of December.

Check in tomorrow to see the latest update on the snowfall accumulation.

4 comments:

Joel said...

LMAO!!! Sorry, you're forecast has a ZERO chance of verifying, and I'm not sure where in God's name you are seeing this solution. Cape/Island will be 90% RAIN, and maybe get a T-1" on the backside. Along and east of a FIT-ORH-IJD-HVN line looks good for a 1-3" snowfall. This would include PVD and TAN. E MA will have major mixing issues with a NE wind.

Forecast out of WJAR calls for 0-2" west of Bristol, 0-1" east.

I hate to sound rude, but this map should be deleted ASAP if you want to stand any chance of remaining respected.

Joel said...

BTW, as always, my thoughts on the impending storm can be found here:

http://sneweather.blogspot.com/

Or, of course, on the Eastern US Weather Forum.

Andrew said...

This map was made Friday afternoon..and there was a little disclaimer.

Haven't had a chance to change it...been busy all weekend. I agree with you.

Andrew said...

This map was made Friday afternoon..and there was a little disclaimer.

Haven't had a chance to change it...been busy all weekend. I agree with you.