Sunday, July 08, 2007

Low Confidence Forecast

This forecast is made with very low confidence. SNE is right on the threshold between record heat and cool summer air. On one side of the warm front we see temperatures in the mid to upper 90's with heat indices well over 100 degrees. On the other side of the front, temperatures will be very cool, mainly in the lower 80's and right along the areas of the coastline, temperatures will likely hold in the upper 70's. The differences between having a high of 97 and 78 can be as close as 10-20 miles in extreme cases. Lawrence may see a temperature tomorrow of only 83, while just down the road in Framingham, the temperature skyrockets to around 95. It can be that extreme and pegging a number is so far beyond me right now. Yesterday I though that the front would be well into CNE and NNE, but today it looks like it will be dividing SNE in half.

I am more confident that we will be on the warmer side of the front on Tuesday, but how high temperatures respond is too early to tell. Likely the warmest parts of New England the next 3-4 days will be SW New England. The CT River Valley will really be baking with temperatures in the 90's each and every day through Wednesday it looks like at this point. I can see Boston getting to around 90-92 degrees. If by chance I am wrong tomorrow and Boston does hit 90, and they do it again on Tuesday, it would be an official Heatwave. Too early to tell. Temperatures will still be warm on Wednesday with 90's SW New England, upper 80's in the middle of SNE and 70's/80's in the North.

Thursday will be the transition day with morning showers widespread before we set the table for a really nice weekend with temperatures in the 70's with dry crisp air. It will be a nice reprieve from the heat and humidity we will endure the next few days.

Good thing the All Star break is upon us too because the Sox looked pretty flat against the Detroit Tigers this past weekend, likely getting swept. The Red Sox, as good as they seem, have the same exact record as they did this time last year. Makes you wonder.

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