Monday, July 30, 2007

Breaking: TD 3 Forms...Chantal Immenent

Tropical Depression number 3 has just formed out in the Atlantic Ocean. This hurricane season started off quickly with a named storm before the actual start of the hurricane season, but has since cooled off in a big way, leading to a rather "boring" late June and much of July...UNTIL TONIGHT!

This storm is not the only player out there. There is another storm that is close to formation near the Carribean and Windward Islands. If Chantal forms, it will only be an interest to shipping lanes. You can easily see its path from the NWS. Its out there and not a factor in our weather.

In this satellite infared image provided by Accuweather we can see the two disturbed areas of weather in the Atlantic tonight. The one northwest of Bermuda and rocketing to the northeast attatched to an old front that died out over the water is our new Tropical Depression 3. This storm started to get organized yesterday and now has this public information statement from the Hurricane Headquarters out of Miami, FL.
"...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...THIRD CYCLONE OF THE SEASON...FORMS BETWEENBERMUDA AND CAPE COD...AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST OR ABOUT 270MILES...435 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 445 MILES...710 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. ATURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTEDOVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHTBEFORE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY LATE TOMORROW.ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...36.1 N...66.0 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT500 AM EDT."
The Hurricane Headquarters have also sent our a Public Advisory from earlier in the day.
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN IS TILTED FROM 24N66W ALONG 15N68W TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA NEAR 5N69W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. BROAD LOW LEVEL INVERTED-V CURVATURE COVERING THE AREA FROM 62W-75W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE MOVING FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN BUT NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED.
Earlier, the NWS was not as concerned with this potential storm system, but looking over the looping satellite images tonight, there is nice flare up of thunderstorms around the center of circulation, which has made it all the way to the surface as a low pressure system. Now if we wake up tomorrow morning and the thunderstorms around the center of its circulation start to fizzle, we probably do not have anything on our hands, at least for the next 48 hours, but if the thunderstorms continue to explode like they are showing tonight, we could have Tropical Depression 4 the day after TD 3. Check back in the morning on both of these systems.

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