Right now Barry has been downgraded to a tropical depression with winds of 35 mph as it enters western Florida, around Tampa Bay. Winds were at 55 mph, gusting to around 65 mph earlier this morning. This will bring beneficial rains to fire ravaged regions of Georgia, northern Florida, and South Carolina. Sunday will be much cooler after today's warm and humid temperatures in the mid to upper 80's with scattered but very severe thunderstorms later this afternoon. With these thunderstorms, there could be large hail, frequent lightning, and torrential rainfall. Highs tomorrow will be in the lower to mid 70's with the chance of a thunderstorm or two as well.
Then it gets interesting for Monday with Barry moving up the coast as either a tropical depression or a tropical storm. Right now the NWS is forecasting Barry to be a T.S. off the South Coast. Winds are forecasted to be at 45 mph at this point, but with water temperatures in the mid 60's at this point, I would find it hard to believe that it could maintain its tropical characteristics all the way this far north. Nonetheless, heavy rains and strong gales, especially along the coast, are likely on Monday with much of SNE and eastern NNE receiving 1-3" of rainfall, with locally 4" of rain. In fact, the entire east coast of the US will see beneficial rains on the order of a general 2-4", with some parts of drought-stricken Florida picking up over 6" of rain. Scattered showers hang on for Sunday, but it will dry out on Wednesday through the end of next week with temperatures warming back up into the 80's by this point. I will give you the latest on Barry in tomorrow's discussion.
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