Friday, August 10, 2007

Cold and Damp Today; Tropics Set to EXPLODE!

When was the last time you can remember an August afternoon like this one, especially in Worcester. The temperature was in the upper 50's this morning there and since has slid back into the low 50's the entire afternoon! Talk about November weather in the middle of August when the average high for much of SNE is around 81 degrees. Here in the Boston area, it has not been that cool, mainly because most of the rain has stayed away from us, but temperatures have remained in the low 60's, which is about 20 degrees below the normal for this date. Its very cool.

Now there are signs on our computer models that the tropical Atlantic is about to go bonanza! It is developing some rather intense looking tropical entities in the 6-10 day frames for the Carribbean and then eventually developing something very intense looking towards the western Atlantic later in the period, towards days 8-10. The sea surface temperatures are extremely high right now since there has been very limited activity to cool the water temperatures. We could be getting into the big bang part of our hurricane season the next 1-2 months. There could be 3-4 named storms at once in the peak of our activity.

It is still a long ways out for these computer models, so it is just something that we should put in the back of our minds. For now.

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