Here is what the Boston Forecast Discussion is saying about this event...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY AS A FAIRLY POTENT UPPERLEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE 00Z GLOBAL MODELS HAVECOME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH EACH OTHER REGARDING THE EVOLUTIONOF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. ALL OF THEM /EXCEPT THE ECMWF/ NOWDEVELOP A COASTAL LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SOMETIME FRIDAYNIGHT...THEN MOVE IT NORTHEAST WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKETSOMETIME SAT OR SAT NIGHT. THE 00Z OP GFS...00Z GFSENSEMBLE...UKMET...GGEM ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS.WILL
THEREFORE INTRODUCE LOW CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OFTHE CWA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR THEECMWF TO COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT BEFORE HAVING ANYTHING MORE THANLOW CONFIDENCE. HOWEVER...IF THE 00Z MODEL CONSENSUS PANSOUT...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COULD SEE THEIR FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL OF THE SEASON /ALBEIT QUITE LIGHT/. THE COASTALPLAIN LIKELY STAYS LIQUID AS BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WILL BERELATIVELY WARM.
We will see how the computer models go this afternoon....
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