Wednesday, December 20, 2006

A MILD THURSDAY

It was finally a average day today...kinda. Highs ranged from around 40 to 45 with a persistent breeze making it feel like the 30's. Nothing really to talk about, really not feeling that good of late. There are a couple of storm chances coming up. The first comes late Friday into Saturday with what looks to be a mostly rain event. It may start as a period of mixed precipitation over NW zones late Friday night as temperatures will be around the freezing mark. This mixed bag, if it does occur, will be shortlived and transition to all rain by Saturday morning. We could be talking about a soaking rain with perhaps 1/2" to 1" of rain. It will likely be rain for all of New England, barring the highest peaks in northern New England where there may be some snow accumulation. IE: Mount Washington, Mount Mansfield.
After Saturday's RAINSTORM, Christmas Eve looks to be mild with highs around or slightly over 50. Christmas Eve (night) will be mild and midnight masses will likely be in the upper 30's to lower 40's. This will set us up for a mild Christmas Day. Highs will be in the 40's, but a front will be approaching from the NW as an area of High Pressure will be spreading in marginal cold into New England.
Then it gets interesting...A storm system will be developing in the northern half of the Gulf of Mexico and will be accelerating northeastward through GA through western NC and VA. This storm track will likely bring some accumulating snows from Nashville, TN to parts of KY and WV. The low pressure will be off the coast of Norfolk, VA by Christmas Day, spreading rain along the coastal areas with wet snow possible near Washington DC. There will be a rain/snow line with this storm. It will be gaining strength as it really hugs the coastline. This hugging of the coast will likely flood most of SNE with enough mild air to keep most of area SE of Worcester and Boston, a mainly rain event. Thats how it looks right now. Most of the I-95 cities will have a mainly rain event, but we all may see a quick change to snow at the end Tuesday night. The details with this storm are still way up in the air, so don't take these as the final details on this possible storm. Things will most definitely change as you already know with previous forecasts of storms this winter. Its still 144+ hours out.
Stay tuned and Merry Christmas!

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

ERIC- Well...looked like that Tuesday storm would bring us rain by cutting to the west of us.

We don't have to worry about that now as the 18z GFS is now taking that storm to the south of us.

F*** this pattern. I give up. I am throwing in the white towel. Ray, I don't care how you say not to give in too early. Its O-V-A!

El Nino is coming in strong....who knows what happened to the weak to moderate forecast? In other Nino winters, from the 70's, 80's, 98, 01...seasonal snowfalls ranged from a measely 8-15"!

Talk about a snowless winter.

Thats what we are going to see here. Boston Snowfall Winter 06-07...I would bet 22"

Sorry, I am packing it in on the eve of winter's becoming.