Summer Makes a Return in a Big Way

Happy 4th of July everybody, ope, my bad, its late afternoon on September 22nd and its around 80 at 5PM. I thought it was July for a second. The summer beat continues at least for a little while. I can't tell if this will be the last hurrah for summer, but each time we have one of these hurrah's I think that it will be the last one, but looking down about seven days, we always see the heat building again. Tomorrow, the first day of fall will feel anything but fall. Highs overall will be around 80 inland and mid 70's along the shore. Another beach day in my opinion. We step it up a bit for Monday with highs around 80-85. Then look at the forecast for Tuesday. Can you believe your eyes, lower 90's. It won't last long, just a one day stand. Cooler air comes in with a stalling cold front on Wednesday before we return to seasonable weather for later in the week. Upper 60's look cool, but that will actually be right at average for Friday of next week!

Enjoy the last day of summer.

Summery Stretch Continues

Our summery weather will continue for at least a little while longer. Considering that it is nearly October, stringing together 5-7 consecutive days of mostly sunny days with highs around 80 is simply astounding. Tomorrow brings much of the same. Highs tomorrow will be ever so slightly cooler, mainly in the upper 70's. Then as I have been saying over and over, Saturday really warms, getting into the middle 80's. It looked like Sunday would cool, but now it looks like the first day of autumn will still feel like July. Highs for SNE will average around 82 degrees. That is the normal high for Boston for July 20th! Not the first day of fall. Monday will be 85 degrees for a southern New England average, a temperature that is above the the warmest day of the year's average temperature, 83 degrees in late July-early August. Tuesday is still warm and then we deal with a staggering front that will start to really cool us into Wednesday with increasing clouds and the threat of showers later in the day. We may be talking 80's to begin the week, and then 60's to round it off. Its the time of extremes.

Forecast More Like July than Late September

This forecast looks more like that out of a week out of July. Temperatures will stay well above normal by 10-15 degrees through the period with the cooler days, Friday and Sunday, still much above normal. Tomorrow is day one of the return of the summer weather. Highs should be getting into the lower 80's, under abundant sunshine. A dry front will move through parts of SNE on Thursday night and introduce a cooler airmass, ever so slightly, into SNE, dropping temperatures from the low and middle 80's to around 80 inland, 70's at the shore. The warm air surges right back with a warm front going through the area and temperatures will respond nicely, middle 80's widespread throughout the southern part of the six state region. Another cold front, dry, moves through on Sunday, the first official day of autumn, "cooling" us down into the mid 70's.

The heat surges right back early next week and we will be into the 80's on Monday and Tuesday with an extended period of warmth, to downright hot weather. The jet stream is surging into southern Canada and as long as the jet stream stays in a trough in the West and huge ridge here in the East, storms will continue to track through the Northern Plains, up through the Great Lakes and into southern Quebec, dragging mostly dry, weak cold fronts down to our area. Temperatures looks to stay well above average through next week. October is showing signs that it could be an very warm month as well. We will see how this all affects the winter forecasts.

Can Somebody Say Drought?

There is no weather coming our way for the foreseeable future. Not even the chance of rain the next 6-8 days. The next chance of seeing any type of rain looks to come by Wednesday of next week. The only story that will be making headlines will be the temperatures. From one extreme to another. Today, the cold spot in SNE was Norwood, of course, as they got to a frosty low of 30 degrees this morning. Not far behind was the normally second cold spot, Bedford, coming in with a low of 33 degrees. Highs today stayed generally in the 60's, with the exception of Taunton, coming in with an afternoon high of 70 degrees, after a morning low of 36 degrees. Tomorrow temperatures as a whole will be a few degrees warmer in the morning and the afternoon. Norwood and Bedford will likely drop to between 34-37 degrees, while the rest hover around 40. Boston will likely be around 50, after a morning low of 48 this morning. The heat moves in on Thursday on a SW wind. Highs will likely be in the low to mid 80's, with low humidity. A cold front will move through the area from west to east Thursday night and let in a cooler, but still nice airmass for Friday, with temperatures slightly above normal, mainly in the mid 70's. The heat is right back on for Saturday as highs will be soaring well into the mid to perhaps upper 80's in a few spots. Overnight lows will likely stay around 60 in the suburbs to mid and upper 60's in urban areas. That will really feel like summer all over again on the last official day of summer.

We welcome in fall at 5:51AM on Sunday morning with a cooler airmass, with morning lows in the 40's in the suburbs and 50's, Boston. The cooler airmass stays until Monday and then I think we are off to the races again as temperatures soar back into the 80's. Enjoy this perfect stretch of weather. It can't last forever.

Frost Widespread Tonight

Sleeping with the windows open last night was quite the mistake. Lows got very cold last night in southern New England and many parts of western and northern New England dropped down to frosty levels early this morning, which will really accelerate the fall foliage season, really early this season. We have two more very cold to frosty mornings ahead before we really start to heat up once again. First today, temperatures will top out between 60-65 degrees with abundant sunshine, maybe a few afternoon clouds. Once late afternoon comes, temperatures will really start to tumble, down into the mid 50's for the Red Sox in Boston tonight, and low 50's for the fans at Gillette. Temperatures by the end of the Sox game will likely be around 50, but the end of the Pats game will really feel like fall, in the mid and upper 40's. Temperatures will really fall at Gillette because Foxboro is a notorious place to cool quickly.

One more cool day like that on Tuesday and then we are off to the races for warmth latern next week. Wednesday will be a bit milder with temperatures around 70, after morning lows in the low 40's. We warm up more significantly on Thursday with high temperatures in the low to mid 80's. The warm temperatures will continue through the weekend with highs each day in the 75-85 degree range, coolest at the shore, warmest inland.

Here is a map for tonight's frost and freeze potential. As you can see, places around the Boston-Providence-Worcester area does not really have to worry about tonight for frost and freezes. However, a notorious place for frost around here will be the airport at Norwood and any cranberry bogs and Carver, MA is a notorious cold spot.

Much further west is where you will run into widespread frost and freezes. Western CT, MA and much of Vermont, and southern New Hampshire will experience temperatures in the low to mid 30's. South-central Vermont will even experience Freezing conditions with temperatures likely in the 28-32 degree range for several hours at a time. That is where there is a *Freeze Warning at the current time. The areas in the darker blue are under a *Frost Advisory. Tuesday morning we will do this all over again and perhaps closer to home, we'll see.

Enjoy the nice stretch we are getting.

Frosty Suburbs Monday Morning

I hope your garden got a good drink of water this morning because that will be the last of the rain we will see for quite a long time. Second of all, the growing season, for a few, will come to an end come Monday morning. I will outline the areas that could experience frosty temperatures, around 32 degrees, tomorrow afternoon with a map perhaps. Tonight the frost will be confined to western Massachusetts and southwestern New Hampshire. Northern New England is fair game as well, but many areas up there have already been below 32 this season. Tomorrow will be a chilly day with highs in the low 60's. Then Monday morning is when parts of southern New England may go below or around 32 degrees for a time that could put an end to our growing season. If your garden survives the early week frost, it will love the forecast later because temperatures will get back into the 70's by midweek and maybe approaching 80 by Friday.

Monday is going to be a chilly one to start off.

Pleasant Weather Here; Twin Tropical Trouble

Our weather is fine here today. It is a little bit windy with winds gusting over 30 mph, making for a bad hair day. Other than that, with temperatures in the 70's and partly cloudy skies, you can't ask for much more. Tomorrow will be a cooler day, with temperatures only making it to about 70, after early morning lows in the 40's. As advertised, Friday will be a nice and warm day with highs getting into the upper 70's. It will feel nice. The next shot of light rain showers, widely scattered, will come during the day on Saturday. I am not certain of the timing, but what these showers will do is usher in some very chilly air from Canada. Highs on Sunday will struggle to get to 60 in most places. Early morning lows early next week will be quite low as well. Suburbia will likely bottom out in the mid and upper 30's, both Monday and Tuesday mornings. So, this means you may want to wear layers and just shed them during the day as afternoon temperatures warm.

The tropics are making headlines as well today. First I will talk about the Tropical Depression in the Gulf of Mexico, within miles of the southeast coast of Texas. Winds with this system are 35 mph, so it is close to TS status. It may make it to about 40 mph, but that would be about it. It only has about 30-50 miles of water left before it makes landfall in Texas. The other concern is out in the middle of the Atlantic off the African coast. It is a more impressive looking system on the satellites, and has lots of time to mature into something major, if it doesn't get pulled north into the "Hurricane Graveyard," which this storm has all the potential to do. By this weekend, it should be gaining strength, likely becoming a hurricane, heading for the eastern Atlantic. Its still days away from even affecting any type of landmass, so we won't worry about this one until Saturday.

Enjoy your Wednesday.

Flooding Rains End; Sun Returns

Flood advisories and warnings are posted all over the place this afternoon. A real heavy band of rain has moved up through SNE, especially in the NW suburbs of Boston and especially Worcester. Rain has been coming down in buckets, at the rate of .25" to .50" an hour, causing ponding on the roadways and a general unsafe driving condition. The rain will continue to be moderate to heavy until about 4PM, when it should start to lighten from south to north. Heavy rain may linger in southern NH until about 5-6PM. Rainfall on the order of 1-3" is quite common away from Worcester in the western part of Massachusetts and southern Vermont, where there is still hours of heavy rain to go through. Rainfall totals, when all said and done out there will range from 2-4",with local areas picking up closer to 5-6" of rain. South and east from a line from Worcester to Portsmouth, NH, rainfall totals will come down a bit, still heavy, mainly 1-2". Further southeast of Brockton, Quincy, less than 1" of rain will fall. Again it ends around the evening rush and will be all but gone by daybreak. Tomorrow will be a windy day with warm air down on the ground mixing with the very cold air over top of us, causing instability and heavy winds. We cool for Thursday and warm up again ahead of a cold front and showery Saturday. Some spots of Friday could hit 80, perhaps, not 90-95 like last Friday, but warm still for football games.

Don't worry though, showers move through on Saturday and we really cool off on Sunday with high temperatures likely staying in the low 60's along the coastal plain and upper 50's in northern Worcester County and SW NH. Low to mid 50's will probably be all NNE will be able to muster, with overnight lows going into the hard killing freeze criteria for NNE with many places getting down into the mid and upper 20's for lows and not going above freezing for 2-4 hours. Here in SNE, a few colder spots may flirt with freeze just before daybreak, but it won't be anything more than a patchy frost. Mid 60's South; Mid 50's North will be the rule going into Monday of next week with partly cloudy skies.

Washout Tuesday

I busted today's forecast. That front never got north of the Boston metro area. Temperatures have been stuck in the mid 60's all afternoon with persistent fog and drizzle. It is a very dank and gloomy afternoon out there. Tomorrow won't be much better. Instead of fog and mist, we will replace that with a general rainfall. Tomorrow showers will develop in the mid-late morning, some heavy by early afternoon and cause the day to be pretty much a washout. I have a high forecasted to be 73 degrees for a SNE average, but if this rain starts late morning and continues until dark off and on, temperatures will likely stay in the low to mid 60's. The rain will move out and we will have a nice rest of the week, allbeit, much cooler than we have been used to here in SNE.

With nearly 100 percent sunshine, temperatures will only manage the mid and upper 60's on both Wednesday and Thursday, allowing overnight temperatures to really get chilly, especially in the suburbs. Lows will be common, in the 40's. Friday warms up a tad to more seasonable levels, but it will be shortlived ahead of a cold front that will move through the area on Saturday, ushering in some of the coolest, crisp, Canadian air since last spring. Highs will likely stay in the low 60's in SNE, mid 50's up North, with lows getting back into the 30's in many suburbs of Boston. Boston, itself, will likely fall to around 50. We'll see how it turns out. More needed rain is in the forecast for tomorrow so thats a good thing.

Raw Sunday Leads to a Steamy Monday

Yesterday was one of those days that felt like was in the wrong month. Highs yesterday were in the low to mid 90's from Hartford to Boston to Concord, NH and Bangor, ME. It was pretty unbelievable. Now today, north of the stalled frontal boundry, temperatures have remained in the upper 50's to low 60's all afternoon with a raw NE wind. South of the front, positioned near the Mass Pike, temperatures are in the upper 70's and low 80's with sticky conditions. This front will go back north overnight and lows will stay in the 60's overnight here in SNE, even rise a couple degrees in places like Lawrence, MA where temperatures this afternoon have been in the 59-60 degree range.

Tomorrow will be much warmer with morning showers and increased humidity. Tropical Storm Gabrielle, pretty much a dud of a storm will pass well SE of Nantucket with max winds of 45 mph. It may cause a little build up of the seas, but that would be about it. A more beneficial rain could be in the cards for Tuesday afternoon as a little ripple of low pressure could enhance rainfall along a stalling frontal boundry, giving SNE a nice soaking rain that we so desperately need. We'll watch that. It cools and dries off later in the week with mostly sunny skies and highs pretty much in the lower 70's, seasonable levels. Saturday brings another chance of PM showers, but it now looks like most will wait until overnight Saturday and early Sunday. Ahead of the cold front, temperatures should shoot well into the 70's to perhaps 80 degrees in parts of SW southern New England with increased humidity before we really cool off for Sunday and early next week. Highs should get down into the 60's by this time with lows really cooling off.

The Pats are looking good this year...